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We document that the correlation between capital inflows and outflows has increased substantially over time in a sample … plus imports), which reduces the correlation between capital inflows and outflows. In the context of a two-country model … with 14 shocks we show that the theoretical impact of financial and trade globalization on the correlation between capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949930
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129220
A number of studies have identifed patterns of positive correlation of returns, or comovement, among different traded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787252
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face, is the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals, but these reserves are seldom sufficient and always expensive to hold. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222654
Emerging market economies, which have much of their growth ahead of them, run persistent current account deficits in order to smooth consumption intertemporally. The counterpart of these deficits is their dependence on capital inflows, which can suddenly stop. In this paper we develop and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228758
Emerging economies experience sudden stops in capital inflows. As we have argued in Caballero and Krishnamurthy (2002), having access to monetary policy during these sudden stops is useful, but mostly for insurance' rather than for aggregate demand reasons. In this environment, a central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237236
First generation models of speculative attacks show that apparently random speculative attacks on policy regimes can be fully consistent with rational and well-informed speculative behavior. Unfortunately, models driven by a conflict between exchange rate policy and other macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238941
Business Cycles in emerging markets are characterized by strongly counter-cyclical current accounts, consumption volatility that exceeds income volatility and dramatic sudden stops' in capital inflows. These features contrast with developed small open economies and highlight the uniqueness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244405
The prospects of expansionary monetary policies in the advanced countries for the foreseeable future have renewed the debate over policy options to cope with large capital inflows that are, at least partly, driven by low interest rates in the financial centers. Historically, capital flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117393
International capital flows, while potentially beneficial, are said to increase a country's vulnerability to crisis - especially if they are skewed to non-FDI types. This paper studies whether the volume and composition of capital flows affect the degree of credit crunch faced by a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151647