record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a … modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …

-displacement earnings if displaced in mass-layoff events that occur when the national unemployment rate is below 6 percent. They lose a … staggering 2.8 years of pre-displacement earnings if displaced when the unemployment rate exceeds 8 percent. These results … opportunities respond to contemporaneous economic conditions. Finally, we confront leading models of unemployment fluctuations with …

sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the … model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …

more severe. A higher unemployment rate around the time of retirement reduces Social Security income for those in the …

may face unemployment. Multipliers associated with different government expenditure programs differ markedly. The paper … describes policies that can mitigate precautionary behavior, leading to reduced unemployment. Greater wage flexibility may lead … to increased unemployment. The precautionary behavior is the antithesis of equilibrium behavior, suggesting that standard …