Showing 1 - 10 of 537
others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … that were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236830
At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to … between member countries whether or not members have also adopted the Euro. The Euro adoption as well as the anticipation of … the Euro adoption has minimal effects on market integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135396
exist in most Eurozone countries. Although the European Central Bank managed the euro in a way that achieved a low rate of …The creation of the euro should now be recognized as an experiment that has led to the sovereign debt crisis in several … monetary union. The emergence of these problems just a dozen years after the start of the euro in 1999 was not an accident or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118129
This study grounds the establishment of EMU and the euro in the context of the history of international monetary … for a more expansive monetary policy. Such demands might arise in some parts or regions or countries of the euro area, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772728
The stability of the EMS depends crucially on realignment expectations of the market participants. In this paper we discuss how to measure such expectations and how to relate them to economic fundamentals, central bank reputation, and institutional arrangements of the EMS. We find the following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237565
Exchange rates of currencies in the Exchange Rate Mechanism of the EMS are characterized by long periods of stability interrupted by periods of extreme volatility. The periods of volatility appear at times of realignments of the central parities and at times when the exchange rate is within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239360
History provides us with many examples of multiple country fixed exchange rate regimes that have eventually fallen apart. In light of these failures, why has the EMS been so successful in stabilizing exchange rates among members, and in expanding its membership? This paper argues that one key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249159
An empirical model of time-varying realignment risk in an exchange rate target zone is developed. Expected rates of devaluation are estimated as the difference between interest race differentials and estimated expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, using French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217941
Empirical work on exchange-rate behavior under a target-zone regime has used data produced by the European Monetary System (ENS) and has found that the data contradict important predictions made by the standard target-zone model. We argue that the contradictions reflect a misinterpretation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219704
This paper defines two competing hypotheses on the working of fixed exchange rates. The quot;symmetryquot; hypothesis states that every country is concerned with the good functioning of the system, and cannot afford to deviate from world averages. Every country is just left to follow the rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754653