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The representative agent model (RA) has dominated macroeconomics for the last thirty years. This model does a reasonably good job of explaining the co-movements of consumption, investment, GDP and employment during normal times. But it cannot easily explain movements in asset prices. Two facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057406
We distinguish the measure of risk aversion from the slope coefficient in the linear relationship between the mean excess return on a stock index and its variance. Even when risk aversion is constant, the latter can vary significantly with the relative share of stocks in the risky wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774602
The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776940
a large premium is implausibly large. We offer a new explanation based on Kahneman and Tversky's 'prospect theory'. The … simulations we find that the size of the equity premium is consistent with the previously estimated parameters of prospect theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311880
We study equilibrium firm-level stock returns in two economies: one in which investors are loss averse over the fluctuations of their stock portfolio and another in which they are loss averse over the fluctuations of individual stocks that they own. Both approaches can shed light on empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763180
<script type="text/javascript" src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/mathjax/2.7.1/MathJax.js?config=AM_HTMLorMML-full"></script>In the rare-disasters setting, a key determinant of the equity premium is the size distribution of macroeconomic disasters, gauged by proportionate declines in per capita consumption or GDP. The long-term national-accounts data for up to 36 countries provide a large sample of disaster events of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009178
Recently much progress has been made in developing optimal portfolio choice models accomodating time-varying opportunity sets, but unless investors are unreasonably risk averse, optimal holdings include unreasonably large equity positions. One reason is that most studies assume investors behave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788074
.S. household survey, we measure ambiguity aversion using custom- designed questions based on Ellsberg urns. As theory predicts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087877
We document that the risks and pre-fee returns of broad hedge fund indices can be accurately matched with simple equity index put writing strategies, which provide monthly liquidity and complete transparency over their state-contingent payoff profiles. This nonlinear risk exposure combines with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072872
In the framework of continuous-time finance theory, this paper derives the optimal consumption and portfolio rules for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763133