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Social Security trust fund portfolio diversification to include some equities reduces the equity premium by raising the safe real interest rate. This requires changes in taxes. Under the hypothesis of constant marginal returns to risky investments, trust fund diversification lowers the price of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774822
that differences across countries in technological riskiness, in risk aversion, in population size and in overall … productivity will lead to a non-zero current account in the steady state. Higher technological riskiness, greater risk aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760240
This paper develops a tractable stochastic overlapping generations model to analyze the equilibrium equity premium and growth rate of the capital stock in the presence of a defined-benefit Social Security system. If the Social Security Trust Fund increases the share of its portfolio held in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216852
Can governments roll their debt over forever in dynamically efficient economies, and thus avoid the need to raise taxes? While the answer is a clear no under certainty, it depends, under uncertainty, on whether public debt provides intergenerational insurance. When it does not, rollover is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767839
facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general equilibrium feedback of … optimal aggregate saving rate is independent of income risk. The optimal time-invariant tax on capital is increasing in income … risk. Its sign depends on the extent of risk and on the Pareto weight of future generations. If the Ramsey tax rate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927058
We explore the quantitative implications of uncertainty about the length of life and a lack of annuity markets for life cycle consumption in a general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which markets are otherwise complete. Empirical studies find that consumption tends to rise early in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761264
-generational transmission of wealth. Financial markets are incomplete, exposing agents to both labor income and capital income risk. We show … that the stationary wealth distribution is a Pareto distribution in the right tail and that it is capital income risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764838
capital of older workers. Due to the lack of inter-generational risk sharing, innovation creates a systematic risk factor …, which we call "displacement risk.'' This risk helps explain several empirical patterns, including the existence of the … growth-value factor in returns, the value premium, and the high equity premium. We assess the magnitude of displacement risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150434
The theoretical literature presumes generational risk is large enough to merit study and that such risk can be … to directly measure generational risk and the extent to which it can be mitigated via financial markets or Social … Security. The model is trend stationary as is common in the literature. It features isoelastic preferences, moderate risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079749
Research on intergenerational transmission of wealth has pointed to uncertainty -- about the date of one's own death, for example -- as a potential source of significant bequest flows. In this paper I examine the effects of this same uncertainty on the behavior of those who expect to receive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137648