Showing 1 - 10 of 3,417
Although it has been well established that financial volatility is related to news and macroeconomic shocks, there has … consol returns since 1729 and identify a greater-than-50% decline in volatility from the end of the Napoleonic wars in 1815 … until the First World War. News events and macroeconomic variables cannot account for this extended period of reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312511
) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293433
empirical fact that the term structure of interest rate volatility has a hump-shaped pattern on employment report days (but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043278
Recent academic papers have shown that the Japanese sovereign debt situation is not sustainable. The puzzle is that the bond rate has remained low and stable. Some suggest that the low yield can be explained by domestic residents' willingness to hold Japanese government bonds (JGBs) despite its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102193
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135062
This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061815
data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies for the first and second moments of business conditions. We then use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062729
institutions predicts higher volatility and greater noise in stock prices as well as greater fragility in times of crisis. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992142
According to conventional wisdom, annualized volatility of stock returns is lower when computed over long horizons than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764748
This paper addresses how creditor protection affects the volatility of stock market prices. Credit protection reduces … volatility in 40 countries over the period from 1984 to 2004. Estimated probabilities of a liquidity crisis are used as a proxy … price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776957