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We provide explicit solutions for government spending multipliers during a liquidity trap and within a fixed exchange regime using standard closed and open-economy models. We confirm the potential for large multipliers during liquidity traps. For a currency union, we show that self-financed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100679
canonical medium scale DSGE model. When monetary policy is characterized by a Taylor rule, the output multiplier (the change in … cycle, whereas the welfare multiplier (the consumption equivalent change in a measure of aggregate welfare for the same …. The welfare multiplier is still procyclical under passive monetary policy, albeit less so than under a Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071512
We use Bayesian prior and posterior analysis of a monetary DSGE model, extended to include fiscal details and two distinct monetary-fiscal policy regimes, to quantify government spending multipliers in U.S. data. The combination of model specification, observable data, and relatively diffuse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017938
The fiscal “multiplier” seeks to measure how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of … fiscal expansion or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and …-based approach, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306480
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and ….We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely determined in … our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit-financed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892557
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the “Renaissance” in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893136
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136746
substitution effects, yielding uniform comparisons across models. By constraining the multiplier to tight ranges, model and prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120209
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087434
In this paper, we estimate government purchase multipliers for Japan, following the approach used previously for a panel of OECD countries (Auerbach and Gorodnichenko, 2013). This approach allows multipliers to vary smoothly according to the state of the economy and uses real-time forecast data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058256