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Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237591
-expected utility (ambiguity aversion and prospect theory) objectives and characterize their market-timing, horizon effects, and hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763209
In this paper, we compare the attitude towards current risk of two expected-utility-maximizing investors that are identical except that the first investor will live longer than thequot; second one. In one of the models under consideration, there are two assets at every period. Thequot; first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763543
We argue that narrow framing, whereby an agent who is offered a new gamble evaluates that gamble in isolation, separately from other risks she already faces, may be a more important feature of decision-making under risk than previously realized. To demonstrate this, we present evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767726
The performance of a given portfolio policy can in principle be evaluated by comparing its expected utility with that of the optimal policy. Unfortunately, the optimal policy is usually not computable in which case a direct comparison is impossible. In this paper we solve this problem by using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767733
This paper introduces a tractable, structural model of subjective beliefs. Forward-looking agents care about expected future utility flows, and hence have higher current felicity if they believe that better outcomes are more likely. On the other hand, biased expectations lead to poorer decisions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785493
The shift from defined benefit to defined contribution plans in the United States has drawn new attention to the effect of participants' asset allocation decisions on their financial resources for retirement. This paper develops a stochastic simulation algorithm to evaluate the effect of holding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762791
This paper revisits the Home Bias Puzzle -- the relatively low interna- tional diversification of portfolios. We suggest that part of the diversifi- cation puzzle may be due to reliance on the conventional CAPM model as the benchmark predicting patterns of diversification. We compare the asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774958
Using proprietary portfolio data on millions of households, we show that (likely) Republicans increase the equity share and market beta of their portfolios following the 2016 presidential election, while (likely) Democrats rebalance into safe assets. We provide evidence that this behavior is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223798
in describing their investment strategy as relating to a theory about fundamental value rather than about the kind of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227905