In a model of evolution driven by conflict between societies more powerful states have an advantage. When the influence …

We examine the mechanics of deterrence and intervention when fear is a motive for conflict. We contrast results … distinguish predatory and preemptive incentives as determinants of conflict. We show that while weapons have an unambiguous …

, attitudes and preferences. Using surveys of individual values in 76 countries, we find that ethnic identity is a significant … are irrelevant. Indeed, we find that civil conflict becomes more likely when there is greater overlap between ethnicity …

ethnic conflict. A new type of bargaining failure due to multiple types of potential conflicts (and hence multiple threat …

There is tremendous variation in conflict intensity both across and within civil conflict spells. Using an instrumental … variables approach and a rich set of dynamic, empirical models, we find that the intensity of conflict is negatively related to … per-capita income. Economic conditions also affect conflict dynamics, as higher per-capita income reduces the persistence …

We propose a model of cycles of distrust and conflict. Overlapping generations of agents from two groups sequentially … a sequence of bad actions originated. Assuming that both sides are not extremists, spirals of distrust and conflict get … this mechanism can be useful in interpreting cycles of ethnic conflict and international war, and how it also emerges in …