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The housing boom that preceded the Great Recession was due to an increase in credit supply driven by looser lending constraints in the mortgage market. This view on the fundamental drivers of the boom is consistent with four empirical observations: the unprecedented rise in home prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133507
What are the stylized facts that characterize the dynamics of credit booms and the associated fluctuations in macro-economic aggregates? This paper answers this question by applying a method proposed in our earlier work for measuring and identifying credit booms to data for 61 emerging and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133510
We present a DSGE model where firms optimally choose among alternative instruments of external finance. The model is used to explain the evolving composition of corporate debt during the financial crisis of 2008-09, namely the observed shift from bank finance to bond finance, at a time when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096582
, materially heighten the risk of financial crises. Both effects have become stronger in the postwar era. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106101
We live in a new world economy characterized by financial globalization and historically low interest rates. This environment is conducive to countries experiencing credit bubbles that have large macroeconomic effects at home and are quickly propagated abroad. In previous work, we built on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165132
Value stocks are more exposed to disaster risk than growth stocks. Embedding disasters into an investment-based asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201883
This paper examines the aftermath of financial crises in advanced countries in the four decades before the Great Recession. We construct a new series on financial distress in 24 OECD countries for the period 1967–2007. The series is based on assessments of the health of countries’ financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201887
We document that the global scope and depth of the crisis the began with the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the summer of 2007 is unprecedented in the post World War II era and, as such, the most relevant comparison benchmark is the Great Depression (or the Great Contraction, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188524
We construct credit risk indicators for euro area banks and non-financial corporations. These are the average spreads … divergence in credit spreads for financial firms across national boundaries. This divergence in cross-country credit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821838
An examination of U.S. banking history shows that economically efficient private bank money requires that information-revealing securities markets for bank liabilities be closed. That is, banks are optimally opaque, which is why they are regulated and examined. I show this by examining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796573