Showing 1 - 10 of 1,042
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
uncertainty (EnvPU) available on a monthly basis over the 1990-2019 period. We find that our EnvPU index spikes during the …-and-trade climate bill and during the Trump presidency. We examine how elevated levels of environmental policy uncertainty relate to … energy exchange-traded fund. Overall, our results are consistent with the notion that policy uncertainty has adverse effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362015
We study the effects of monetary-policy-induced changes in Tobin's q on corporate investment and capital structure. We … evidence, and quantify the relevance for monetary transmission to aggregate investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210051
This essay discusses the reasons for and implications of the decline in real interest rates around the world over the past several decades. It suggests that the decline in interest rates is largely explicable from trends in saving, growth, and markups. In this environment, greater government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210052
, scope, and investment decisions, and we outline their connection to recent macroeconomic and financial trends in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362030
We show how real and financial frictions amplify the impact of uncertainty shocks. We build a model with real frictions …, and find adding financial frictions roughly doubles the impact of uncertainty shocks. Higher uncertainty alongside … financial frictions induces the standard real-options effects on investment and hiring, but also leads firms to hoard cash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895833
We re-examine the basic investment problem of deciding when to incur a sunk cost to obtain a stochastically fluctuating … benefit. The optimal investment rule satisfies a trade-off between a larger versus a later net benefit; we show that this … demand curve. We reinterpret the optimal investment rule as a markup formula involving an elasticity that has exactly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472850
This study uncovers a statistically significant negative correlation between volatility and private investment over the … number of different measures, volatility reduces private investment in developing countries. We then show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473481
The theoretical relationship between investment and uncertainty is ambiguous. This paper briefly surveys the insights … theoretical effects. Our results from a panel of U.S. manufacturing firms indicate a negative effect of uncertainty on investment … consistent with theories of irreversible investment. We find no evidence for a positive effect via the channel of the convexity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473912
This paper derives closed-form solutions for the investment and market value, under uncertainty, of competitive firms … to the case of reversible investment, the introduction of irreversibility does not affect q, but it reduces the … irreversible investment as well as for reversible investment. Optimal investment is a non-decreasing function of q, the shadow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474539