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This paper shows that it is possible to analyze equilibrium inflation determination without any reference to either … become negligible. Inflation in the cashless limit is shown to be a function of the gap between the natural rate' of interest …-rate rule indicating the tightness of monetary policy. Inflation can be completely stabilized, in principle, by adjusting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472626
Proposals for 'inflation targeting' as a strategy for monetary policy leave open the important operational question of … how to determine whether current policies are consistent with the long-run inflation target. An interesting possibility is … that the central bank might target current private-sector forecasts of inflation, either those made explicitly by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472657
A relation between inflation and the path of average marginal cost (often measured by unit labor cost) implied by the … is shown to again take the standard "new-Keynesian" form, but with an elasticity of inflation with respect to real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467536
monopolistically competitive pricing, higher-order expectations are crucial for aggregate inflation dynamics, as argued by Phelps (1983 … disturbance, and a delayed effect on inflation, as found in VAR studies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470042
policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461858
a burst of inflation that devalues the existing nominal debt stock. The probability of this outcome places upward … pressure on inflation expectations and poses a substantial challenge to a central bank pursuing an inflation target. The … distribution of outcomes for the path of future inflation has a fat right tail, revealing that only a small set of outcomes imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462162
current and future inflation innovations to revalue government debt, reducing reliance on distorting taxes; (2) the role of … inflation in optimal fiscal financing increases with the average maturity of government debt; (3) as average maturity rises, it … is optimal to tradeoff inflation for output stabilization; (4) inflation is relatively more important as a fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458976
We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that arise when trying to identify monetary-fiscal regime. The article concludes with directions in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456805
Over the past century, the world economy has passed through a succession of phases characterized by very different levels of international capital flows. This paper asks what accounts for these dramatic shifts in the extent of capital movements across national borders, three categories of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475589
An asset-pricing perspective on inflation reveals that it depends on current and expected monetary and fiscal policies … inversely with the price level. Expected money growth, tax rates, and government spending directly impinge on these expected … rates of return of these assets, and determine the price level and the inflation rate. The paper considers a tax reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469197