Showing 1 - 10 of 224
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage … ("wageless recovery"). Second, inflation determines the type of recovery: low inflation (below 30 percent annual rate) is … associated with jobless recovery, while high inflation is associated with wageless recovery. The paper shows that this pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460181
control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a … modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462625
The aggregate neoclassical growth model - with a labor income tax or "labor market distortion" that began growing at the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
We survey the recent empirical literature on the effects of offshoring on wages, employment and displacement. We start with the measurement of offshoring, focusing on the use of imported inputs that could have been produced by the importing firm. We overview key theories related to offshoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456633
claims on business income also rise. According to the leading view of unemployment-the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model …-when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises. Employers recover their … when the discount rate rises. Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment. This paper does not explain why the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458792
The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459074