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and past election results. We isolate the impact of candidates' rankings using an RDD in French local and parliamentary … candidates and voters and of election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480543
implicitly delivers a novel method for estimating the impact of campaign spending on election outcomes: we find that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464972
asked them to predict the election outcomes. The participants' predictions explain more than 20 percent of the variation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466001
appear to pass more punitive sentences when they are up for re-election, consistent with models of signaling where voters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479667
election even though such spending may be due to opportunistic manipulation, because it can also reflect sincere preference of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467600
Empirical distributions of election margins are computing using data on U.S. Congressional and state legislator … election returns. We present some of the first empirical calculations of the frequency of close elections, showing that one of … independent binomial model predicts. The evidence also suggests that recounts, and other margin-specific election procedures, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470126
forty years. I develop a simple optimizing model of the union decision to hold a representation election that can account …I establish four facts regarding the pattern of NLRB supervised representation election activity over the past 45 years …: 1) the quantity of election activity has fallen sharply and discontinuously since the mid-70's after increasing between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471560
general election of 1923, an election that hinged on free trade versus protection. The election provides an opportunity to … the electorate account for the election outcome better than differences in class structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473709
general election is an endogenous policy variable in a parliamentary system. Thus, one of the interesting questions in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475917
before the election. Our empirical results suggest that our model performs at least as well and often better than alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476355