We conduct a comprehensive analysis of unspanned stochastic volatility in commodity markets in general and the crude …-oil market in particular. We present model-free results that strongly suggest the presence of unspanned stochastic volatility in … stochastic volatility. The model features correlations between innovations to futures prices and volatility, quasi …

We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates …

This paper develops a methodology for testing the term structure of volatility forecasts derived from stochastic … volatility models, and implements it to analyze models of S&P 500 index volatility. Volatility models are compared by their … ability to hedge options positions sensitive to the term structure of volatility. Overall, the most effective hedge is a Black …

An efficient method is developed for pricing American options on combination stochastic volatility …/jump-diffusion processes when jump risk and volatility risk are systematic and nondiversifiable, thereby nesting two major option pricing … models. The parameters implicit in PHLX-traded Deutschemark options of the stochastic volatility/jump- diffusion model and …

The stochastic discount factor seems volatile, but is this observation of any consequence for aggregate analysis of … accumulation with time-varying subjective probability adjustments, and obtain four implications for aggregate economic analysis …. First, subjective probability adjustments add volatility to the stochastic discount factor, and can rationalize any pattern …

We propose a discrete-time stochastic volatility model in which regime switching serves three purposes. First, changes …

that background, we explore whether incorporating stochastic volatility improves DSGE forecasts (point, interval, and … policy rate. We find that incorporating stochastic volatility in DSGE models of macroeconomic fundamentals markedly improves … their density forecasts, just as incorporating stochastic volatility in models of financial asset returns improves their …

At the zero lower bound, the central bank's inability to offset shocks endogenously generates volatility. In this …-contingent optimal monetary and fiscal policies can attenuate this endogenous volatility by stabilizing the distribution of future … outcomes. Fluctuations in uncertainty and the zero lower bound help our model match the unconditional and stochastic volatility …