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Amidst the recent resurgence of inflation, this paper investigates the interplay of corporate profits and income … distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework. We derive a novel analytical condition …-demand fluctuations and inflation to be amplified by heterogeneity, profits have to be countercyclical--an implication that is at odds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337850
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
We derive closed-form solutions and sufficient statistics for inflation and GDP dynamics in multi-sector New Keynesian … of inflation and GDP responses to monetary and sectoral shocks and (2) increase the pass-through of sectoral shocks to … aggregate inflation. Quantitatively, we confirm the significant role of production networks in shock propagation, emphasizing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287319
We provide theory and evidence that relative price shocks can cause aggregate inflation and act as aggregate supply … on U.S. core inflation while depressing U.S. real activity. In a two-sector monetary model with upstream and downstream … predictions. Motivated by post-COVID inflation in the U.S., a model experiment shows that a one-time relative price shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056141
Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but … inflation near its 2-percent target---would have severely hampered an already anaemic recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056186
In recent years, important and headline-grabbing findings have emerged from research using individual income tax data for statistical purposes. Demand for these microdata, accessible under the tax administration authority of the Internal Revenue Code and through the IRS Statistics of Income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072910
monetary policy achieved low and stable inflation once it adopted inflation targeting as a nominal anchor. Also, as Friedman … inflation targeting became a model for the conduct of monetary policy in emerging countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372411
) stabilize financial conditions beyond their direct effect on output and inflation gaps, even though stable financial conditions … targeting could have reduced the variance of the output gap, inflation, and interest rates by 36%, 2%, and 6%, respectively, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145157
Identifying exogenous variation in monetary policy is crucial for investigating central bank policy transmission. Using newly-collected archival real-time data utilized by the Central Bank Council of the German Bundesbank, we identify unexpected changes in German monetary policy from 580 policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388841