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I separately identify and estimate the effects of the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate, forward guidance, and large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) policies on the U.S. economy. I extend the high-frequency identification strategy of Bauer and Swanson (2023b) for monetary policy VARs by allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337836
We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241
Recent research has found that monetary policy works in part by influencing the risk premiums on both traded financial-market securities and intermediated loans. Research has also shown that when risk premiums are compressed, there is an increased likelihood of a reversal that damages the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477243
whether the central bank chooses to buy domestic or foreign assets, thus resulting in transfers either within or between … compensates for losses (the structure of indemnification agreements). Data from the Federal Reserve, the Eurosystem, and the Bank … of England show that maximum annual losses are between 0.3 and 1.5 percent of GDP. By contrast, the Swiss National Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544756
important benefits and is the responsibility of a central bank. Achieving price stability in a complex and uncertain environment … overheating economy. Associated challenges imply that central bank communication and transparency are key elements of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512091
This paper uses evidence from the Federal Open Market Committee's Summary of Economic Projections to show that US monetary policymakers have objectives over unemployment and inflation outcomes that are not well-approximated through a conventional quadratic loss function. Rather, policymakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247923
and how adjustments occur during tightening phases. Central bank credibility is the one measure we assess that corresponds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409857
. This article surveys a rapidly-growing literature on central bank communication with the public. We first discuss why and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334494
Since the initial launch of inflation targeting in the early 1990s in New Zealand and a few other countries, inflation targeting has become the predominant monetary policy strategy in large advanced and emerging market economies. Inflation targeting has been remarkably successful in anchoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361461
This paper derives the optimal monetary-policy rule in a simple model with anchored inflation expectations and an effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates, assuming a long-run inflation goal of 2%. With fully anchored expectations, the optimal policy is a version of average inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145111