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In this paper we discuss the properties of confidence intervals for regression parameters based on robust standard errors. We discuss the motivation for a modification suggested by Bell and McCaffrey (2002) to improve the finite sample properties of the confidence intervals based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460183
This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471286
This paper develops a theory of dynamic pessimism and its impact on asset prices. Notions of time-varying pessimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481947
Economists typically check the robustness of their results by comparing them across plausible ranges of parameter values and model structures. A preferable approach to robustness--for the purposes of policymaking and evaluation--is to design policy that takes these ranges into account. We modify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482317
misspecification so small that it is difficult to detect statistically and cannot be ruled out based on economic theory. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544773
Researchers interested in estimating productivity can choose from an array of methodologies, each with its strengths and weaknesses. Many methodologies are not very robust to measurement error in inputs. This is particularly troublesome, because fundamentally the objective of productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468390
A decision maker constructs a convex set of nonnegative martingales to use as likelihood ratios that represent parametric alternatives to a baseline model and also non-parametric models statistically close to both the baseline model and the parametric alternatives. Max-min expected utility over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456673
We introduce a simple and robust approach to answering two key questions in empirical auction analysis: discriminating between models of entry and quantifying the revenue gains from improving auction design. The approach builds on Bulow and Klemperer (1996), connecting their theoretical results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458142
This paper describes the results of a Monte Carlo study of certain aspects of robust regression confidence region estimation for linear models with one, five, and seven parameters. One-step sine estimators (c = l.42) were used with design matrices consisting of short-tailed, Gaussian, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479015
The estimator holding the central place in the theory of the multivariate "errors-in-the-variables" (EV) model results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479043