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We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates. It features correlations between innovations to forward rates and volatilities, quasi-analytical prices of zero-coupon bond options and dynamics of the forward rate curve, under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466328
We use the information in credit-default swaps to obtain direct measures of the size of the default and nondefault components in corporate spreads. We find that the majority of the corporate spread is due to default risk. This result holds for all rating categories and is robust to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468275
This paper presents techniques for modelling and estimating the behavior of financial market price or return differentials that follow non-linear regime-switching behaviour. The methodology to be used here is estimation of variants of threshold autoregression (TAR) models. In the basic model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467162
financial markets: interest rate swap spreads. Our approach consists of jointly modeling the swap and Treasury term structures … significant. We also find that credit premia in swap spreads are positive on average. These premia, however, vary significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469724
The object of this paper is to test several familiar hypotheses about the relationship between the forward rates implied by the term structure and interest rate expectations, using the one ongoing systematic survey that samples market participants' expectations. The substitution of survey data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478855
across different maturities. Swap rates represent future uncollateralized borrowing between banks. Treasuries should be … expensive and produce yields that are lower than those of maturity matched swap rates, as they are deemed to have superior … explains the negative swap spreads over Treasuries. This view is supported by a quantitative equilibrium model that jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480372
We present a novel empirical benchmark for analyzing credit risk using "pseudo firms" that purchase traded assets financed with equity and zero-coupon bonds. By no-arbitrage, pseudo bonds are equivalent to Treasuries minus put options on pseudo-firm assets. Empirically, like corporate spreads,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457890
Mathematical models of bond pricing are used by both academics and Wall Street practitioners, with practitioners introducing time-dependent parameters to fit arbitrage-free models to selected asset prices. We show, in a simple one-factor setting, that the ability of such models to reproduce a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473207
This paper presents an equilibrium model of the term structure of interest rates when investors have heterogeneous preferences. The basic model considers a pure exchange economy of two classes of investors with different (but constant) relative risk-aversion and gives closed-form solutions to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473707
securities. To this end, we use regulatory data on individual swap positions for the largest 250 U.S. banks. We find that the … significant extent to which swap positions offset each other, the average bank has essentially no net interest rate risk from … banks, with some bank swap positions decreasing and some increasing with rates, but aggregating swap positions at the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250183