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Periodic sharp sustained increases and then reversals in asset prices lead many to posit irrational price bubbles. The general case for irrationality is that real asset prices simply have moved too much given the future real cash flows the assets are reasonably likely to produce. A corollary for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467354
negative abnormal capital investment/return relation is shown to be stronger for firms that have greater investment discretion … to the empire building implications of increased investment expenditures. Although firms that increase capital … investments tend to have high past returns and often issue equity, the negative abnormal capital investment/return relation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468746
Feedback from stock prices to cash flows occurs because information revealed by firms' stock prices influences the actions of competitors. We explore the implications of feedback within a noisy rational expectations setting with incumbent publicly traded firms and privately held new entrants. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459278
firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … strips. Our model delivers testable predictions about the behavior of firm-level real variables - investment and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460684
This study explores the role of investor sentiment in a broad set of anomalies in cross-sectional stock returns. We consider a setting where the presence of market-wide sentiment is combined with the argument that overpricing should be more prevalent than underpricing, due to short-sale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461759
The arrival of new, unfamiliar, investment opportunities is often associated with "exuberant" movements in asset prices … signals about the profitability of the new investment opportunities, and vice versa. In this paper, we study how such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462767
We argue that the empirical evidence against the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) based on stock returns does not invalidate its use for estimating the cost of capital for projects in making capital budgeting decisions. Since stocks are backed not only by projects in place, but also the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463759
We develop a model of investment with financial constraints and use it to investigate the relation between investment … between q and investment, relative to the frictionless benchmark. We present a calibrated version of the model, which, due to … this effect, generates realistic correlations between investment, q, and cash flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465562
, profitability, investment, and stock returns for firms in the 'crisis' country as well as competitors in the rest of the world … capital investment and stock returns (and therefore expected long-run output and profits) is determined by capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469660
quarters of the variation in real annual aggregate investment growth between 1948 and 1993. The negative correlation of … contemporaneous investment and stock returns is explained by the negative correlation of planned investment and subsequent stock … returns. Unexpected revisions to aggregate investment (actual minus plan) within a year are essentially unrelated to current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471834