Showing 1 - 10 of 1,658
This paper examines the extent to which changes in working-age shares associated with population aging might slow … growth model using country panel data from 1950-2015. We then juxtapose the estimates with predicted shifts in population age … structure to project economic growth in 2020-2050. Our results indicate that population aging will slow economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337818
aggregate economic output. We apply it to estimate and compare the projected effects of climate change and population growth … over the course of the 21st century, by country and globally. We find that standard population growth projections imply … larger reductions in income than even the most extreme widely-adopted climate change scenario (RCP8.5). Climate and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486236
Many scholars have argued that once "basic needs" have been met, higher income is no longer associated with higher in … about well-being, we find no support for this claim. The relationship between well-being and income is roughly linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459670
We explore the relationships between subjective well-being and income, as seen across individuals within a given … higher in countries with greater GDP per capita. The magnitude of the satisfaction-income gradient is roughly the same … whether we compare individuals or countries, suggesting that absolute income plays an important role in influencing well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462215
Explanations for the West's escape from premature mortality have focused on chronic malnutrition or income and on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194988
Fertility levels have greatly decreased in virtually every nation in the world, but the timing of the decline has differed even among developed countries. In Europe, Asia, and North America, total fertility rates of some nations dipped below the magic replacement figure of 2.1 as early as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171712
We address three core questions about the hypothesized role of newly emerging job categories ('new work') in counterbalancing the erosive effect of task-displacing automation on labor demand: what is the substantive content of new work; where does it come from; and what effect does it have on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362043
Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections since 1952. We envision a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858
The adoption of new ideas is critical for realizing their full potential and for advancing the knowledge frontier but it involves analyzing innovators, potential adopters, and the networks that connect them. This paper applies natural language processing, network analysis, and a novel fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094872
At the onset of COVID-19, U.S. labor-force participation dropped by about 3 percentage points and remained below pre-pandemic levels three years later. Recovery varied across states, with slower rebounds in those more affected by the pre-pandemic opioid crisis, as measured by age-adjusted opioid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398169