Showing 1 - 10 of 935
is based. The most popularly used aggregate price statistic in the U.S. is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a statistic … index of the cost-of-living, is that there are likely to be biases in the index as a measure of inflation. In this paper we … use a simple statistical framework to compute a price index that is immune to one of the potentially important biases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474440
A key challenge for research on many questions in the social sciences is that it is difficult to link historical records in a way that allows investigators to observe people at different points in their life or across generations. In this paper, we develop a new approach that relies on millions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480171
This paper combines a data rich environment with a machine learning algorithm to provide new estimates of time-varying systematic expectational errors ("belief distortions") embedded in survey responses. We find that distortions are large on average even for professional forecasters, with all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481601
Understanding factors affecting the direction of innovation is a central aim of research in the economics of innovation. Progress on this topic has been inhibited by difficulties in measuring distance and movement in knowledge space. We describe a methodology that infers the mapping of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435165
Estimating consumer surplus is challenging because it requires identification of the entire demand curve. We rely on Uber's "surge" pricing algorithm and the richness of its individual level data to first estimate demand elasticities at several points along the demand curve. We then use these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456053
lessons for both inflation measurement and some fundamental research questions in macro and international economics. In … particular, we show how online prices can be used to construct daily price indexes in multiple countries and to avoid measurement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456563
In this paper we derive the standard error of a price index when both prices and tastes or technology are treated as … stochastic. Changing tastes or technology are a reason for the weights in the price index to be treated as stochastic, which can … function (with Sato-Vartia price index), and also the translog function (with Törnqvist price index), which proves to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468497
Measuring the performance of private equity investments (buyout and venture) has historically only been possible over long horizons because the IRR on a fund is only observable following the fund's final distribution. We propose a new approach to evaluating performance using actual prices paid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480859
A major shortcoming of the U.S. leading index is that it does not use the most recent information for stock prices and … yield spreads. The index methodology ignores these data in favor of a time-consistent set of components (i.e., all of the … forecasts and create an index with a complete set of most recent components. This study uses tests of ex-ante predictive ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470289
We review in considerable detail the conceptual and measurement issues that underlie construction of medical care price … treatment, rather than prices of fixed bundles of inputs. We outline features of a proposed new experimental price index -- a … medical care expenditure price index -- that is more suitable for evaluation and analyses of medical care cost changes, than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471996