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apply this framework to understanding the implications of the U.S.-China trade war. Our results show that the trade …, but also by causing declines in the returns of firms trading with China. We find that markets expect the trade war to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533307
the US, China, and rest of world. On average, countries decreased exports to China and increased exports to the US and … rest of world. Most countries export products that complement the US and substitute China, and a subset operate along …We study global trade responses to the US-China trade war. We estimate the tariff impacts on product-level exports to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794590
The Great Depression is the canonical case of a widespread currency war, with more than 70 countries devaluing their currencies relative to gold between 1929 and 1936. What were the currency war's effects on trade flows? We use newly-compiled, high-frequency bilateral trade data and gravity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171714
We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during … the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its … economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus on the recent U.S.-China trade war. We discuss methods used to evaluate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361989
This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480297
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480377
In 2018, the US launched a trade war with China, an abrupt departure from its historical leadership in integrating … global markets. By late 2019, the US had tariffed roughly $350 billion of Chinese imports, and China had retaliated on $100 …, China and other countries. This article reviews what we have learned to date from this work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629535
The unexpected outbreak of the U.S.-China trade war led to dramatic increases in the import and export tariffs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482140
The 2008 financial crisis did not precipitate global retaliatory trade intervention, in seeming contrast to the Great Depression in 1930s. This paper discusses the influence of model structure in optimal tariff (OT) calculations in explaining this puzzle. We emphasize how earlier literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456819
For most of the post WWII period, until recently, trade protectionism followed a downward trend, and was formulated in multilateral or bilateral agreements between countries. Recently however, there hasbeen a sharp shift towards unilateral, discretionary trade policy focused on short term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481315