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We measure investors' short- and long-term stock-return expectations using both options and survey data. These expectations at different horizons reveal what investors think their own short-term expectations will be in the future, or forward return expectations. While contemporaneous short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372444
, demand shocks, and monetary policy are the fundamental drivers of inflation. Endogenously time-varying risk premia imply that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226118
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
technologies and are subject to both aggregate and idiosyncratic income risk. The different asset trading technologies, which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458339
asset cannot be traded for intervals of uncertain duration. Illiquidity leads to increased and state-dependent risk aversion … market liquidity to vary from `normal' periods, when all assets are fully liquid, to 'illiquidity crises,' when some assets … can only be traded infrequently. The possibility of a liquidity crisis leads to limited arbitrage in normal times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459224
Price-based liquidity metrics are better in 2013-2014 for small trades and large high-yield bond trades, but not for … relative to 2010-2012. This evidence contrasts with the widely-held view among practitioners that liquidity has worsened …-crisis liquidity could be low when markets are stressed. We consider three stress events: extreme VIX increases, extreme bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455364
Unfunded fiscal shocks are a significant source of risk premia in Treasury markets when central banks and governments … decide to insulate taxpayers and expose bondholders' wealth to government funding needs. We illustrate this bond risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409800
valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse addresses the challenge of sample size even when major disasters are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
traditional risk statistics. Aggregate research interest is highly correlated with stock size, and salient news and earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361501
investors could benefit from changing their allocation to PE. Plans invest in PE funds with higher average risk …-adjusted performance. This is mainly due to access to successful PE managers, not superior selection skill. Decomposing returns into risk …-compensation and "alpha", we find that some plans obtain higher PE returns by taking more risk without earning higher, and in some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145145