Similar Search Results

Alesina, Alberto - 2005

Many countries, especially developing ones, follow procyclical fiscal polices, namely spending goes up (taxes go down) in booms and spending goes down (taxes go up) in recessions. We provide an explanation for this suboptimal fiscal policy based upon political distortions and incentives for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467077

Electoral College and Election Fraud

Egorov, Georgij V.; Sonin, Konstantin - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they hold the most significant influence, such as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861

Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections

Calvo, Richard; Pons, Vincent; Shapiro, Jesse M. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections since 1952. We envision a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858

Pack-Crack-Pack : Gerrymandering with Differential Turnout

Bouton, Laurent; Génicot, Garance; Castanheira, Micael; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper studies the manipulation of electoral maps by political parties, known as gerrymandering. At the core of our analysis is the recognition that districts must have the same population size but only voters matter for electoral incentives. Using a novel model of gerrymandering that allows...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322829

Universalism and Political Representation : Evidence from the Field

Enke, Benjamin; Fisman, Raymond; Freitas, Luis Mota; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper provides field evidence on the link between morals and political behavior. We develop a theory-guided real …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287365

Classical Right, New Right, and Voting Behavior : Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Sanz, Carlos - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

Due to a last-minute fight among the candidates, Vox, a party at the right end of the Spanish political spectrum, could not run in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, a relatively representative electoral constituency, in the general election of July 23, 2023. Since this fight was a power struggle within...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576639

Bribery or Just Desserts? Evidence on the Influence of Congressional Voting Patterns on PAC Contributions from Exogenous Variation in the Sex Mix of Legislator Offspring

Conley, Dalton - 2008

Evidence on the relationship between political contributions and legislators' voting behavior is marred by concerns about endogeneity in the estimation process. Using a legislator's offspring sex mix as an exogenous variable, we employ a two-stage least squares estimation procedure to predict...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464704

Party Discipline and Pork Barrel Politics

Grossman, Gene M. - 2005

Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285

Corruption as a Shared Dilemma : Survey Evidence from Legislators and Citizens in Three Countries

Fisman, Raymond; Ferroni, Matteo F.; Golden, Miriam A. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

We conduct parallel surveys of legislators and citizens in three countries to study their tolerance for corruption. In …-offs between, for example, probity and efficiency: both perceive corruption as undesirable but prevalent. These novel descriptive … data further reveal that legislators generally have accurate beliefs about public opinion on corruption and understand its …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056149

Sovereign Default and Tax-smoothing in the Shadow of Corruption and Institutional Weakness

Azzimonti, Marina; Mitra, Nirvana - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

, particularly tax-smoothing practices. Focusing on democratic representation and control of corruption, our dynamic political …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447264