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"Leaning against the wind" (LAW), that is, tighter monetary policy for financial-stability purposes, has costs in terms of a weaker economy with higher unemployment and lower inflation and possible benefits from a lower probability or magnitude of a (financial) crisis. A first obvious cost is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453966
We estimate a New-Keynesian macro model accommodating regime-switching behavior in monetary policy and in macro shocks. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey-based expectations for inflation and output. We identify accommodating monetary policy before 1980, with activist monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461567
The paper reviews the directions of research that offer important insights into open economy macroeconomic policy: pricing, waiting and expectations. The pricing discussion centers on the recognition that firms are price setters. This implies that industry shocks such as exchange rate movements...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476696
We investigate the role of macroprudential policies in mitigating liquidity traps driven by deleveraging, using a simple Keynesian model. When constrained agents engage in deleveraging, the interest rate needs to fall to induce unconstrained agents to pick up the decline in aggregate demand....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458694
This paper reviews and interprets some of the key policy implications that flow from a class of DSGE models for optimal monetary policy in the open economy. The framework suggests that good macroeconomic outcomes in open economies are possible by focusing inflation targeting that is implemented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458120
We propose and solve a small-scale New-Keynesian model with Markov sunspot shocks that move the economy between a targeted-inflation regime and a deflation regime and fit it to data from the U.S. and Japan. For the U.S. we find that adverse demand shocks have moved the economy to the zero lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459413
While dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models for monetary policy analysis have come a long way, there is considerable difference of opinion over the role these models should play in the policy process. The paper develops three main points about assessing the value of these models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460752
Monetary DSGE models are widely used because they fit the data well and they can be used to address important monetary policy questions. We provide a selective review of these developments. Policy analysis with DSGE models requires using data to assign numerical values to model parameters. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462581
We develop a structural DSGE model to systematically study the principal tools of unconventional monetary policy - quantitative easing (QE), forward guidance, and negative interest rate policy (NIRP) - as well as the interactions between them. To generate the same output response, the requisite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479988
I provide an overview of recent developments in monetary economics, with an emphasis on extensions of the New Keynesian framework that assume a zero lower bound on the short term nominal rate, as well as models with household heterogeneity
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452876