Showing 1 - 10 of 2,067
This paper breaks assets' betas with common factors into components attributable to news about future cash flows, real interest rates, and excess returns. To achieve this decomposition the paper uses a vector autoregressive time-series model and an approximate log-linear present value relation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474630
due to risk-sharing. But when it is large, expected return initially increases but then decreases with beta. High beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460112
appropriate measure of an asset's risk is the covariance of the asset's return with the market return. The consumption CAPM, on … this paper, we compare two formulations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. The traditional CAPM suggests that the … the other hand, implies that a better measure of risk is the covariance with aggregate consumption growth. We examine a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477690
This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362020
movements in the equity risk premium), while the cash flows of value stocks are particularly sensitive to permanent movements in … investor sentiment. More generally, accounting measures of firm-level risk have predictive power for firms' betas with market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467293
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459286
pricing in which demand shocks play a central role. These shocks give rise to valuation risk that allows the model to account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460043
future consumption given investors' information, and consequently influence equilibrium asset prices and risk premia. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463832
correlations with developed countries' equity markets significantly reduces the unconditional portfolio risk of a world investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474313
data on both the aggregate stock market and aggregate labor income. The paper finds that aggregate stock market risk is the … main factor determining excess stock and bond returns, but that the price of stock market risk does not equal the … coefficient of relative risk aversion as would be implied by the static Capital Asset Pricing Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474389