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We argue that deep learning provides a promising avenue for taming the curse of dimensionality in quantitative economics. We begin by exploring the unique challenges posed by solving dynamic equilibrium models, especially the feedback loop between individual agents' decisions and the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145068
This paper derives the optimal monetary-policy rule in a simple model with anchored inflation expectations and an effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates, assuming a long-run inflation goal of 2%. With fully anchored expectations, the optimal policy is a version of average inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145111
The Random Utility Model (RUM) is a workhorse model for valuing new products or changes in public goods. But RUMs have been faulted along two lines. First, for including idiosyncratic errors that imply unreasonably high values for new alternatives and unrealistic substitution patterns. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171628
For all its importance, there still is no comprehensive quantitative assessment of the Suez Canal's opening in 1869. We find that it led to a 72% relative increase in bilateral exports for affected country pairs and a likely permanent increase in world trade. With respect to the composition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171653
engine on skill demand and the wage structure in the merchant shipping industry. We find that the technical change created a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467962
Remediation is an important part of American higher education with approximately one-third of students requiring remedial or developmental courses. However, at an annual cost of over $1 billion for public colleges alone, policymakers have become critical of the practice. Despite the growing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468324
The standard source for pre-WWII global freight rate trends is the Isserlis British tramp shipping index. We think it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469171
A pervasive problem in the literature on the health costs of pollution is that optimizing individuals may compensate for increases in pollution by reducing their exposure to protect their health. This implies that estimates of the health effects of pollution may vastly understate the full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463709
In his seminal publications between the 1930s and 1960s, Frederick Lane offered three hypotheses regarding the impact of the Voyages of Discovery that have guided debate ever since. First, pepper and other spice prices did not rise in European markets in the century before the 1490s, and thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466787
relative prices. We turn next to economic explanations for this so-called border effect and to its dynamics. Distance, unit-shipping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470907