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From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates. Thus, as illustrated by much recent research, a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467596
We show that bond risk-premia rise with uncertainty about expected inflation and fall with uncertainty about expected … inflation. The model simultaneously accounts for bond return predictability and violations of uncovered interest parity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460302
Value stocks have higher exposure to innovations in the nominal bond risk premium, which measures the markets … when nominal bond risk premia are low and declining, are associated with lower future dividend growth rates on value minus … growth and with lower future output growth in the short term. Because of this new nexus between stock and bond returns, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462964
We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464841
follow simple time-series processes whose parameters can be estimated from the cross-section of bond prices. The extracted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473007
The recent introduction of CPI-linked bonds by several financial institutions is a milestone in the history of the U.S. financial system. It has potentially far-reaching effects on individual and institutional asset allocation decisions because these securities represent the only true long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476264
During the Last three years mortgage rates have risen relative to yields on comparable maturity bonds. The questions addressed in the present paper are what is the extent of this increase and to what is it attributable? We find the increase between early 198 and early 1981 in coupon rates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478377
We establish that creditor beliefs regarding future borrowing can be self-fulfilling, leading to multiple equilibria with markedly different debt accumulation patterns. We characterize such indeterminacy in the Eaton-Gersovitz sovereign debt model augmented with long maturity bonds. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453037
This paper investigates the long-term performance of Japanese firms issuing convertible debt or equity. We find that these firms perform poorly even though the stock-price reaction to convertible debt and equity issue announcements is not significantly negative for Japanese firms and Japanese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473009
We analyze reallocations within the international bond portfolios of US investors. The most striking empirical … economic growth. We also provide a descriptive analysis of global bond markets' structure and returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458094