In this paper we estimate equilibrium exchange rates for 23 OECD countries and four less mature economies in a panel data setting. Our empirical analysis demonstrates significant links between the trade balance and net foreign assets, and between real exchange rates and the trade balance, rather...

The article analyzes the dynamic effects of tariff liberalization on a small open economy. The primary focus is on nonmonotonic adjustment patterns of net lending such as overshooting or opposite short-and long run effects. When capital accumulation tilts wage income toward the future in the...

Recent global initiatives on debt relief and development assistance call for increasing aid for trade to the poorest countries. We apply a multi-country computable general equilibrium model to measure the effectiveness of alternative aid for trade categories. Our findings show that aid for trade...

This study assesses the response of the trade balance to exchange rate fluctuations across a large number of countries. Fixed-effects regressions are estimated for three country groups (industrial, developing and emerging markets) on annual data for 87 countries from 1994 to 2010. The trade...

This article examines whether the trade balance of two dynamic export-oriented economies, Korea and Taiwan, exhibits a J-curve effect. The article studies both their bilateral and aggregate trade balance during the flexible exchange-rate era. When the exchange-rate coefficients are...

The purpose of this article is to examine the relationship between the real trade balance and the real exchange rate for bilateral trade in merchandise goods between Singapore, Korea, and Malaysia and the USA and Japan on a quarterly basis over the period 1970 to 1996 using the partial reduced...

Several alternative measures of “effective†exchange rates are discussed in the context of their theoretical underpinnings and construction. Focusing on contemporary indices and recently-developed econometric methods, the empirical characteristics of these differing series are examined...

Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in the late 1970s, after the 1985 Plaza Agreement, the early and late 1990s and after 2008. These appreciations have not only been associated with “expensive yen recessions”...