Fessel, Florian; Epstude, Kai; Roese, Neal J. - In: Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 110 (2009) 1, pp. 56-64
Four experiments introduced a new conceptual and methodological approach to hindsight bias, traditionally defined as the tendency to exaggerate the a priori predictability of outcomes after they become known. By examining likelihood estimates rooted to specific time points during an unfolding...
