The Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette (JLS) model of rational expectation bubbles with finite-time singular crash hazard rates has been developed to describe the dynamics of financial bubbles and crashes. It has been applied successfully to a large variety of financial bubbles in many different...

We present an analysis of oil prices in USD and in other major currencies that diagnoses unsustainable faster-than-exponential behavior. This supports the hypothesis that the recent oil price run-up was amplified by speculative behavior of the type found during a bubble-like expansion. We also...

Song et al. [Self-similarity of complex networks, Nature 433 (2005) 392–395] have recently used a version of the box-counting method, called the node-covering method, to quantify the self-similar properties of 43 cellular networks: the minimal number NV of boxes of size ℓ needed to cover all...

Traders develop and adopt different trading strategies attempting to maximize their profits in financial markets. These trading strategies not only result in specific topological structures in trading networks, which connect the traders with the pairwise buy–sell relationships, but also have...

The statistical properties of the multipliers of the absolute returns are investigated using 1-min high-frequency data of financial time series. The multiplier distribution is found to be independent of the box size s when s is larger than some crossover scale, providing direct evidence of the...

The intraday pattern, long memory, and multifractal nature of the intertrade durations, which are defined as the waiting times between two consecutive transactions, are investigated based upon the limit order book data and order flows of 23 liquid Chinese stocks listed on the Shenzhen Stock...

Multifractal analysis and extensive statistical tests are performed upon intraday minutely data within individual trading days for four stock market indexes (including HSI, SZSC, S&P 500, and NASDAQ) to check whether the indexes (instead of the returns) possess multifractality. We find that the...

We have performed a detailed investigation on the world investment networks constructed from the Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey (CPIS) data of the International Monetary Fund, ranging from 2001 to 2006. The distributions of degrees and node strengths are scale-free. The weight...

We have performed a detailed multifractal analysis on the 1-min volatility of two indexes and 1139 stocks in the Chinese stock markets based on the partition function approach. The partition function χq(s) scales as a power law with respect to the box size s. The scaling exponents τ(q) form a...

The weak-form efficiency of energy futures markets has long been studied and empirical evidence suggests controversial conclusions. In this work, nonparametric methods are adopted to estimate the Hurst indexes of the WTI crude oil futures prices (1983–2012) and a strict statistical test in the...