Showing 1 - 10 of 23
Using the minority game model we study a broad spectrum of problems of market mechanism. We study the role of different types of agents: producers, speculators as well as noise traders. The central issue here is the information flow: producers feed in the information whereas speculators make it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588526
The minority game is a generic model of competing adaptive agents, which is often believed to be a model of financial markets. We discuss to which extent this is a reasonable statement, and present minimal modifications that make this model reproduce stylized facts. The resulting model shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874788
We discuss a model of heterogeneous, inductive rational agents inspired by the El Farol Bar problem and the Minority Game. As in markets, agents interact through a collective aggregate variable — which plays a role similar to price — whose value is fixed by all of them. Agents follow a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011057243
We present and study a Minority Game based model of a financial market where adaptive agents—the speculators—interact with deterministic agents—called producers. Speculators trade only if they detect predictable patterns which grant them a positive gain. Indeed the average number of active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011058428
Starting from the Minority Game and building more and more sophisticated models of adaptive agents, we show that minority mechanisms underly any model where agents learn collectively a resource level that can be either obvious and constant in time, obvious and time-varying, or hidden.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589021
We report on a statistical analysis of the Island ECN (NASDAQ) order book. We determine the static and dynamic properties of this system, and then analyze them from a physicist's viewpoint using an equivalent particle system obtained by treating orders as massive particles and price as position....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590227
Minority games where groups of agents remember, react or incorporate information with different timescales are investigated. We support our findings by analytical arguments whenever possible.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590265
Constant and symmetric price impact functions, most commonly used in agent-based market modelling, are shown to give rise to paradoxical and inconsistent outcomes in the simplest case of arbitrage exploitation when open–hold–close actions are considered. The solution of the paradox lies in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590758
We mathematize El Farol bar problem and transform it into a workable model. We find general conditions on the predictor space under which the convergence of the average attendance to the resource level does not require any intelligence on the side of the agents. Secondly, specializing to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010591139
A consistency criterion for price impact functions in limit order markets is proposed that prohibits chain arbitrage exploitation. Both the bid-ask spread and the feedback of sequential market orders of the same kind onto both sides of the order book are essential to ensure consistency at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873081