Showing 1 - 10 of 13
Applied econometricians tend to show a long neglect for the proper frequency to be considered while sampling the time series data. The present study shows how spectral analysis can be usefully employed to fix this problem. The case is illustrated with ultra-high-frequency data and daily prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590579
Previously we have put forward that the sluggish convergence of truncated Lévy flights to a Gaussian (Phys. Rev. Lett. 73 (1994) 2946) together with the scaling power laws in their probability of return to the origin (Nature 376 (1995) 46) can be explained by autocorrelation in data (Physica A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871857
If stock markets are complex, monetary policy and even financial regulation may be useless to prevent bubbles and crashes. Here, we suggest the use of robot traders as an anti-bubble decoy. To make our case, we put forward a new stochastic cellular automata model that generates an emergent stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873336
Because sports are stylized combat, sports may follow power laws similar to those found for wars, individual clashes, and acts of terrorism. We show this fact for football (soccer) by adjusting power laws that show a close relationship between rank and points won by the clubs participating in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873802
We suggest that the ultraslow speed of convergence associated with truncated Lévy flights (Phys. Rev. Lett. 73 (1994) 2946) may well be explained by autocorrelations in data. We show how a particular type of autocorrelation generates power laws consistent with a truncated Lévy flight. Stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011057695
We revisit the finding that crashes can be deterministic and governed by log-periodic formulas [D. Sornette, A. Johansen, Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes, Quant. Finance 1 (2001) 452–471; D. Sornette, W.X. Zhou, The US 2000–2002 market descent: how much longer and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011059092
Since real processes seem to departure from standard Lévy distributions, modifications to the latter have been suggested in literature. These include (abruptly) truncated (Phys. Rev. Lett. 73 (1994) 2946), smoothly truncated (Phys. Rev. E 52 (1995) 1197; Phys. Lett. A 266 (2000) 282) and gradually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060758
We employ our previously suggested exponentially damped Lévy flight (Physica A 326 (2003) 544) to study the multiscaling properties of 30 daily exchange rates against the US dollar together with a fictitious euro-dollar rate (Physica A 286 (2000) 353). Though multiscaling is not theoretically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061713
We have previously examined the role of autocorrelations in the sum of stochastic variables together with the existence of scaling power laws (Physica A 323 (2003) 601). Here we employ such an approach to analyze the sluggish convergence [2] in data coming from the S&P500 index. We also employ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589130
Given that financial series are poorly described by Gaussian distributions, how can the volatility behavior of such series be explained? Here we put forward a possible explanation to add the existing ones. We focus on a class of reduced variables that are independent and identically distributed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589378