Showing 1 - 5 of 5
We present a new type of deterministic dynamical behaviour that is less predictable than white noise. We call it anti-deterministic (AD) because time series corresponding to the dynamics of such systems do not generate deterministic lines in recurrence plots for small thresholds. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873244
Coarse grained dynamical entropies characterize in a quantitative way the precision-dependent predictability of a system. This gives a much more complete description than solely the Kolmogorov–Sinai entropy. The concept is applied to two classes of high-entropic systems, to one class which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874104
We analyse the statistics of extreme events in the boundary layer wind fields. We focus on the wind speeds that are long-term correlated and show that its distribution of the return intervals of rare events is a stretched exponential and the stretching exponent, to within the numerical errors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062985
A continuous state Markov chain of suitable order is employed to approximate the dynamics of surface wind speeds recorded at a single site. Using past observations, the model yields probabilistic forecasts of the future. We employ it for the prediction of turbulent gusts.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589592
Deterministic dynamical systems of Langevin type recently introduced by Beck and Roepsdorf (Physica A 145 (1987) 1) generate Langevin dynamics in a suitable limit. We discuss the transition from chaos to randomness in these systems under the point of view of the attractor dimension and dynamical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599544