Showing 1 - 10 of 25
The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed and the energy produced by a commercial blade. Particularly, we use an indexed semi-Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010777054
The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used for this purpose but better models are needed to reproduce the statistical properties of wind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873188
Statistical analysis of financial data mostly focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analyses performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many financial derivatives. We analyze the behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874879
The idea of measuring distance between languages seems to have its roots in the work of the French explorer Dumont D’Urville (1832) [13]. He collected comparative word lists for various languages during his voyages aboard the Astrolabe from 1826 to 1829 and, in his work concerning the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011058812
We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the overnight returns are modeled by a Markov chain. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589002
In this work we discuss the problem of price definition when using high frequency foreign exchange data. If one uses the spot mid price a strong autocorrelation of returns, at one lag, is found which is only due to microstructure effect and does not capture the real behavior of price dynamics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589952
This paper discusses the size distribution–in economic terms–of the Italian municipalities over the period 2007–2011. Yearly data are rather well fitted by a modified Lavalette law, while Zipf–Mandelbrot–Pareto law seems to fail in this doing. The analysis is performed either at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194081
Among econophysics investigations, studies of religious groups have been of interest. On the one hand, the present paper concerns the Antoinist community financial reports–a community which appeared at the end of the 19-th century in Belgium. Several growth–decay regimes have been previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873214
We introduce a two-player model of reinforcement learning with memory. Past actions of an iterated game are stored in a memory and used to determine player’s next action. To examine the behaviour of the model some approximate methods are used and confronted against numerical simulations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873298
A microscopic approach to macroeconomic features is intended. A model for macroeconomic behavior under heterogeneous spatial economic conditions is reviewed. A birth–death lattice gas model taking into account the influence of an economic environment on the fitness and concentration evolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011058048