Showing 1 - 10 of 698
estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012570942
the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012560813
joint Bayesian Vector Autoregression errors. The simulated shocks are then integrated into the World Bank's macro … methodology is applied to 115 countries, using the World Bank's fall 2024 edition of the Macro-Poverty Outlook forecasts as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015411867
Forecasting has long been a challenge, and will remain so for the foreseeable future. But the analytical instruments and data processing capabilities available through the latest technology, and software, should allow much better forecasting than transport ministries, or regulatory agencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012572844
This paper analyzes how the exchange rate elasticity of exports has changed over time and across countries and sectors, and how the formation of global value chains has affected this relationship. The analysis uses a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, and first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012571673
dealing with undervalued exchange rates. This paper proposes new rules in the World Trade Organization to discipline cases of … WTO's enforcement mechanism is credible and effective. The World Trade Organization would not be involved in exchange rate … advantage of the two institutions, with the International Monetary Fund providing the essential technical expertise in the World …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012552459
Despite a trend toward more flexible rates, more than half the world's countries maintain fixed or managed exchange … its integration into the world trading community. In fact, and overvalued exchange rate is often the root cause of … protection, preventing the country from returning to more liberal trade policies that allow growth and integration into the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012571756
This paper works at the interface of the literature exploring the raison d'etre of the informal labor market and that explaining the real exchange rate appreciations occurring in many Latin American countries during periods of reform. The authors first build a small country-Australian style...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012573136
A survey of participants in a large-scale business plan competition experiment, in which winners received an average of US$50,000 each, is used to elicit beliefs about what the outcomes would have been in the alternative treatment status. Participants are asked the percent chance they would be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012571086
Millions of people emigrate every year in search of better economic and social opportunities. Anecdotal evidence suggests that emigrants may have over-optimistic expectations about the incomes they can earn abroad, resulting in excessive migration pressure, and in disappointment among those who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012552592