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A framework to assess debt sustainability and fiscal risks under the Belt and Road Initiative

Bandiera, Luca; Tsiropoulos, Vasileios - 2019

This paper provides a framework to assess the impact of infrastructure investment expected under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on the debt vulnerabilities of countries that are located on BRI transport and connectivity corridors in the absence of comprehensive and consistent information on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051935

Trade effects of the New Silk Road : a gravity analysis

Baniya, Suprabha; Rocha, Nadia; Ruta, Michele - 2019

This paper takes a first look at the trade effects of China's Belt and Road Initiative, also referred to as the New …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002696

The financial costs of the U.S.-China trade tensions : evidence from East Asian stock markets

De Nicola, Francesca; Kessler, Martin; Nguyen, Ha - 2019

This paper examines the impacts of U.S.-China trade tensions via the lens of East Asian stock markets. Studying 10 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167933

Common transport infrastructure : a quantitative model and estimates from the Belt and Road Initiative

Soyres, François de; Mulabdic, Alen; Ruta, Michele - 2019

This paper presents a structural general equilibrium model to analyze the effects on trade, welfare, and gross domestic product of common transport infrastructure. Specifically, the model builds on the framework by Caliendo and Parro (2015)-a Ricardian model with sectoral linkages, trade in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008332

Who wins, who loses? : understanding the spatially differentiated effects of the Belt and Road Initiative

Lall, Somik V.; Lebrand, Mathilde - 2019

connectivity driven by large transport investments from China's Belt and Road Initiative. The paper presents a quantitative …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008364

The Belt and Road Initiative : reshaping economic geography in Central Asia?

Bird, Julia; Lebrand, Mathilde; Venables, Anthony - 2019

This paper develops a computable spatial equilibrium model of Central Asia and uses it to analyze the possible effects of the Belt Road Initiative on the economy of the region. The model captures international and subnational economic units and their connectivity to each other and the rest of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008368

The Belt and Road Initiative : economic, poverty and environmental impacts

Maliszewska, Maryla; Van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique - 2019

China's Belt and Road Initiative aims to improve connectivity between China and more than 70 countries through …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008384

Trade linkages between the belt and road economies

Boffa, Mauro - 2018

This paper studies the production and trade linkages between a selected group of economies belonging to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). After defining a group of Belt and Road Economies, the paper uses three standard trade databases to analyze trade and production linkages among these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011871250

Exposure of belt and road economies to China trade shocks

Bastos, Paulo - 2018

The Belt and Road Initiative seeks to deepen China's international integration by improving infrastructure and … detailed bilateral trade data for 1995-2015 to assess the degree of exposure of Belt and Road economies to China trade shocks …. The econometric results reveal that China's trade growth significantly affected the exports of Belt and Road economies …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902858

How much will the Belt and Road Initiative reduce trade costs?

Soyres, François de; Mulabdic, Alen; Murray, Siobhan; … - 2018

This paper studies the impact of transport infrastructure projects of the Belt and Road Initiative on shipment times and trade costs. Based on a new data on completed and planned Belt and Road transport projects, Geographic Information System analysis is used to estimate shipment times before...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947471