Despite informality being the norm in conflict-affected countries, most estimates of the impact of conflict on economic … activity rely on formal sector data. Using high-frequency data from Afghanistan, this paper assesses how surges in conflict … in conflict-related casualties has a strong negative impact on formal economic activity in the following quarter and a …

estimates of the effect of harvest shocks on conflict intensity in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan using subnational variation …This paper investigates whether poor employment prospects of potential insurgents help to fuel conflict. The paper … benefits are unobserved. In contrast, many other shocks in the conflict literature are persistent and unanticipated, thus also …

This paper analyzes the relationship between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data, including a detailed … that conflict has on health and expectations. Based on this evidence, it develops a statistical framework to track the … cumulative long-term impact that armed conflict has on poverty, which the paper calls conflict debt. The data confirm that …