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Zastosowanie modeli czynnikowych do konstrukcji barometru koniunktury na podstawie badań ankietowych [Using Dynamic Factor Models for Constructing Economic Activity Indicator from Survey Data]
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Zając, Tomasz - In: Prace i Materiały 90 (2012) 3, pp. 183-213
W opracowaniu przedstawiono syntetyczny wskaźnik aktywności gospodarczej w Polsce (barometr koniunktury), zbudowany na podstawie danych ankietowych Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH i Instytutu Transportu Samochodowego. Do oszacowania barometru koniunktury zastosowano podejście...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820074
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Global Financial Crisis and Its Effects on Real Economies in the Light of Quantitative and Survey Data
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Pachucki, Dawid; Adamowicz, … - In: Prace i Materiały 86 (2011) 1, pp. 11-37
The paper discusses the effects of global financial and banking crisis of 2007-2008 on US and selected European economies. Due to its widespread incidence it has triggered substantial research challenge. The main area of our interest is the real side of economies. However, taking into account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010740571
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Global Financial Crisis and Its Effects on Real Economies in the Light of Quantitative and Survey Data
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Pachucki, Dawid; Adamowicz, … - In: Prace i Materiały 86 (2011) 2, pp. 11-37
The paper discusses the effects of global financial and banking crisis of 2007-2008 on US and selected European economies. Due to its widespread incidence it has triggered substantial research challenge. The main area of our interest is the real side of economies. However, taking into account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898051
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Unobserved Component Model with Observed Cycle. Use of BTS Data for Short-Term Forecasting of Industrial Production
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Pachucki, Dawid - In: Prace i Materiały 86 (2011) 2, pp. 83-100
In the paper we are checking the explanatory power of business tendency survey data (BTS) in short-term forecasts of industrial production within the framework of the unobserved component model (UCM). It is assumed that the "unobserved cyclical component" is common for reference quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898052
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Wahania cykliczne w Polsce i strefie euro
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Pachucki, Dawid; Adamowicz, … - In: Prace i Materiały 89 (2012) 2, pp. 1-223
Praca omawia wyniki badań nad cyklami koniunkturalnymi w wybranych krajach UE. Wahania cykliczne stwierdzone w przebiegu PKB ujawniły się mniej więcej tym samym czasie w różnych obszarach aktywności gospodarczej. Najwyższe wartości współczynniki korelacji jednoczesnych i krzyżowych...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898064
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Unobserved Component Model with Observed Cycle. Use of BTS Data for Short-Term Forecasting of Industrial Production
Dudek, Sławomir Marcin; Pachucki, Dawid - In: Prace i Materiały 86 (2011) 1, pp. 83-100
In the paper we are checking the explanatory power of business tendency survey data (BTS) in short-term forecasts of industrial production within the framework of the unobserved component model (UCM). It is assumed that the "unobserved cyclical component" is common for reference quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659498