As a measure of the component of electoral change resulting from candidate selection variables, the foregoing regression analysis suggested that about 3% of all voters in the districts considered change their votes as a consequence of candidate selection policies. In competitive elections, these...

This paper applies a game-theoretic model of participation under uncertainty to investigate the negative relationship between constituency size and voter turnout rates: theconstituency size effect. We find that this theoretical model accounts for almost all of the variation in turnout due to...

There are several major insights which this game theoretic analysis has produced. First, we have shown that equilibria exist with substantial turnout even when both the majority is much larger than the minority and the costs of voting are exceptionally high. For example, in large electorates...

The authors apply a dynamic spatial model to interest group ratings of the members of Congress over the period 1959-81. Spatial distances between an interest group and the members of Congress are assumed to be monotonic with the ratings. Their pooled cross-sectional time-series data set consists...

A model of the two-way relationship between elections and the economy, previously estimated on historical data for 1916-1988, is applied to the United States elections of 1992, 1994, and 1996. The 1992 result was a surprise to the model since the economy had performed reasonably well that...