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We consider a financial market driven by a Levy process with filtration  [image omitted]. An insider in this market is an agent who has access to more information than an honest trader. Mathematically, this is modelled by allowing a strategy of an insider to be adapted to a bigger filtration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009215097
Sums of Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are appropriate for modelling electricity spot price data. In this paper we present a new estimation method with particular emphasis on capturing the high peaks, which is one of the stylized features of such data. After introducing our method we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008675062
<title>Abstract</title> We consider the performance of non-optimal hedging strategies in exponential Lévy models. Given that both the payoff of the contingent claim and the hedging strategy admit suitable integral representations, we use the Laplace transform approach of Hubalek <italic>et al</italic>. [<italic>Ann. Appl. Probab.</italic>,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976299
We propose an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with seasonal volatility to model the time dynamics of daily average temperatures. The model is fitted to approximately 45 years of daily observations recorded in Stockholm, one of the European cities for which there is a trade in weather futures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005279124
We propose a non-symmetric copula to model the evolution of electricity and gas prices by a bivariate non-Gaussian autoregressive process. We identify the marginal dynamics as driven by normal inverse Gaussian processes, estimating them from a series of observed UK electricity and gas spot data....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009215076