This paper examines the relationship between a Real Estate Investment Trust's (REIT's) stock returns and top management changes. The results indicate an inverse relationship between the probability of a management change and a REIT's recent stock price performance. This is consistent with...

How much in real estate? To answer this question, uncertainty needs to be introduced into the efficient frontier, so that a confidence interval can be estimated for the real estate weight in a mixed-asset portfolio. Instead of focusing on a single optimal portfolio, this study examines the...

We study the optimal valuation of real assets when true asset values are unobservable. In our model, the observed value cointegrates with the unobserved true asset value to cause serial correlation in the time series of observed values. Autocorrelation as well as total variance in the observed...

A model of commercial property valuation is developed where individual property owners are price takers and tenants randomly arrive and depart. Spot lease and tenant reservation prices are stochastic and correlated and can divert from but eventually revert back to market equilibrium. Within this...

Neoclassical investment decision criteria suggest that only the systematic component of total risk affects the rate of investment, as channeled through the built-asset price. Alternatively, option-based investment models suggest a direct role for total uncertainty in investment decisionmaking....

We examine financing, investment and investment performance in the equity REIT sector over the 1981-1999 time period. Analysis reveals significant differences between the old-REIT (1981-1992) and new-REIT (1993-1999) eras. The sector experienced rapid growth in the new-REIT era, primarily from...

A theory for valuing claims on noisy real assets is developed and applied. Central to the theory is determination of the dynamics for the best estimate of real asset value. The dynamics of the value estimate are shown to differ from the dynamics of the true asset value only in the arrival rate...