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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
conditional volatility and density distribution close to the target zone limit, we present clear and direct evidence that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411918
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks … traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …-form and structural models of stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
while allowing for aggregate stochastic volatility. We find that the bulk of yield dynamics comes from short rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179422
Corporate bonds with large increases in implied volatility over the past month underperform those with large decreases … in implied volatility by 0.6% per month. In contrast to An, Ang, Bali, and Cakici (2014) who show that implied volatility … changes carry information about fundamental news, our evidence suggests that implied volatility changes contain information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179498
Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one … cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein (2002) showed that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761277
called for. The approach is appealing when we consider state space models which feature stochastic volatility, or other non … stochastic volatility feature is particularly relevant when considering high frequency financial series. In addition, we propose … models. We assess the efficiency of our indirect inference estimator for the stochastic volatility model by comparing it with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518987
We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term … and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation … risk premia averaging at 40bps at the long-end, and which are strongly related to the volatility factor and conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This effect is stronger for short horizons and more persistent for long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily accommodates unspanned factors affecting volatility and risk …, volatility, and risk premium dynamics — including when interest rates are close to the zero lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764