Showing 1 - 10 of 62
This paper studies the dependence between coupled lives, i.e., the spouses' dependence, across different generations, and its effects on prices of reversionary annuities in the presence of longevity risk. Longevity risk is represented via a stochastic mortality intensity. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507502
We study risk-minimization for a large class of insurance contracts. Given that the individual progress in time of visiting an insurance policy's states follows an F-doubly stochastic Markov chain, we describe different state-dependent types of insurance benefits. These cover single payments at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507634
As is well-known, the benefit of restricting Lévy processes without positive jumps is the “ W,Z scale functions paradigm”, by which the knowledge of the scale functions W,Z extends immediately to other risk control problems. The same is true largely for strong Markov processes X t , with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016015
One of the key components of counterparty credit risk (CCR) measurement is generating scenarios for the evolution of the underlying risk factors, such as interest and exchange rates, equity and commodity prices, and credit spreads. Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) is a widely used method for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018919
In the past two decades increasing computational power resulted in the development of more advanced claims reserving techniques, allowing the stochastic branch to overcome the deterministic methods, resulting in forecasts of enhanced quality. Hence, not only point estimates, but predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018974
We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function P(u) for the component-wise ruin (that is both business lines are ruined in an infinite-time horizon), where u...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127541
The Segerdahl-Tichy Process, characterized by exponential claims and state dependent drift, has drawn a considerable amount of interest, due to its economic interest (it is the simplest risk process which takes into account the effect of interest rates). It is also the simplest non-Lévy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127762
In this paper, we study a generalised CIR process with externally-exciting and self-exciting jumps, and focus on the distributional properties and applications of this process and its aggregated process. The aim of the paper is to introduce a more general process that includes many models in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012128012
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
Building on recent work incorporating recovery risk into structural models by Cohen & Costanzino (2015), we consider the Black-Cox model with an added recovery risk driver. The recovery risk driver arises naturally in the context of imperfect information implicit in the structural framework....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643417