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assumption throughout the article is that no market information on a borrower's credit quality like bond or CDS (Credit Default … level of interest rates and borrower default probabilities shows that a bank should only originate a loan, when the interest … rate a borrower is willing to accept is inside the profitability range for this client. This range depends on a bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292992
The aggregation of individual risks into total risk using a weighting variable multiplied by two ratio variables representing incidence and intensity is an important task for risk professionals. For example, expected loss (EL) of a loan is the product of exposure at default (EAD), probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127917
Climate risk is the negative effect of climate change on several aspects of the environment, business, and society. There are two categories of climate risks: physical risks include direct impacts due to extreme events and chronic changes due to climate modifications that have become commonplace;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408391
Traditionally, business risk management models have not taken into consideration household composition for the purposes of credit granting or project financing in order to manage the risk of default. In this research, an improvement in the risk management model was obtained by introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408410
This study aims to combine deep and recurrent neural networks with a reduced-form portfolio model to predict future default rates across economic sectors. The industry-specific forecasts for Italian default rates produced with the proposed approach demonstrate its effectiveness, achieving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015448921
The main aim of the research was to determine the key factors determining the level of credit risk of individual clients (clients in the form of natural persons, excluding companies) on the example of Polish cooperative banks according to the following features: transaction characteristics,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794149
In micro-lending markets, lack of recorded credit history is a significant impediment to assessing individual borrowers …' creditworthiness and therefore deciding fair interest rates. This research compares various machine learning algorithms on real micro-lending … customers (such as age, occupation, and location). This presents inexpensive and reliable means to micro-lending institutions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508509
banks). Our research confirmed the significant impact of the use of scoring models in lending activities on the value of the … lending activity, showed significantly lower values of the NPL ratio in each analysed year than banks that used other scoring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599592
This study on explaining aggregated recovery rates (ARR) is based on the largest existing loss and recovery database for commercial loans provided by Global Credit Data, which includes defaults from 5 continents and over 120 countries. The dependence of monthly ARR from bank loans on various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805466
This article introduces a new approach for dealing with the diversification/concentration risk of fixed income assets. Because Government bonds, corporate bonds, and mortgage backed securities constitute a large proportion of the assets of institutional investors in most countries, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806470