One crucial task of actuaries is to structure data so that observed events are explained by their inherent risk factors. They are proficient at generalizing important elements to obtain useful forecasts. Although this expertise is beneficial when paired with conventional statistical models, it...

The objective is to study the use of non-translation invariant risk measures within the equal risk pricing (ERP) methodology for the valuation of financial derivatives. The ability to move beyond the class of convex risk measures considered in several prior studies provides more flexibility...

Due to the advanced technology associated with Big Data, data availability and computing power, most banks or lending institutions are renewing their business models. Credit risk predictions, monitoring, model reliability and effective loan processing are key to decision-making and transparency....

In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model, including its first formulation (1992) that remains the...

We investigate the performance of the Deep Hedging framework under training paths beyond the (finite dimensional) Markovian setup. In particular, we analyse the hedging performance of the original architecture under rough volatility models in view of existing theoretical results for those....

A regularization approach to model selection, within a generalized HJM framework, is introduced, which learns the closest arbitrage-free model to a prespecified factor model. This optimization problem is represented as the limit of a one-parameter family of computationally tractable penalized...

This paper proposes a generalized deep learning approach for predicting claims developments for non-life insurance reserving. The generalized approach offers more flexibility and accuracy in solving actuarial reserving problems. It predicts claims outstanding weighted by exposure instead of loss...

After 2010, the consumer price index fell to a low level in the EU. In the euro area, it remained low between 2010 and 2020. The European Central Bank has even had to take action against the emergence of deflation. The situation changed significantly in 2021. Inflation jumped to levels not seen...

In emerging markets like Vietnam, where student borrowers often lack traditional credit histories, accurately predicting loan eligibility remains a critical yet underexplored challenge. While machine learning and deep learning techniques have shown promise in credit scoring, their comparative...

Volatility forecasting for financial institutions plays a pivotal role across a wide range of domains, such as risk management, option pricing, and market making. For instance, banks can incorporate volatility forecasts into stress testing frameworks to ensure they are holding sufficient capital...