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Have financial markets become more informative?
Bai, Jennie; Philippon, Thomas; Savov, Alexi - 2012
The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
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Estimating the impacts of US LSAP's on emerging market economies' local currency bond markets
Moore, Jeffrey A.; Nam, Sunwoo; Suh, Myeongguk; Tepper, … - 2013
This paper examines whether large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) by the Federal Reserve influenced capital flows out of the United States and into emerging market economies (EMEs) and also analyzes the degree of pass-through from long-term U.S. government bond yields to long-term EME bond yields....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692612
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How stable are monetary models of the dollar-euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003877676
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Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions
Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - 2011
This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935244
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The Fed's international dollar liquidity facilities: new evidence on effects
Goldberg, Linda S.; Ravazzolo, Fabiola - 2021
In March 2020, the Federal Reserve eased the terms on its standing swap lines in collaboration with other central banks, reactivated temporary swap agreements, and then introduced the new Foreign and International Monetary Authorities (FIMA) Repo Facility. We provide new evidence on how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797880
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The Fed's central bank swap lines and FIMA repo facility
Choi, Mark; Goldberg, Linda S.; Lerman, Robert Irving; … - 2021
Building on the facility design and application experience from the period of the global financial crisis, in March 2020 the Federal Reserve eased the terms on its standing swap lines in collaboration with other central banks, reactivated temporary swap agreements, and then introduced the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625891
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When does it hurt? : the exchange rate "pain threshold" for German exports
Belke, Ansgar; Goecke, Matthias; Günther, Martin - 2009
euro. At the end of our estimation period, the previous exchange rate movements had shifted the upper bound of the play …This paper deals with the impact of the $/Euro exchange rate on German exports in the period from 1995Q1 to 2008Q4. Our … implement an algorithm describing play-hysteresis into a regression framework. A unique "pain threshold" of the $/Euro exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003901021
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When is there a strong transfer risk from the sovereigns to the corporates?
Bai, Jennie; Wei, Shang-jin - 2012
When a sovereign faces the risk of debt default, it may be tempted to expropriate the private sector. This may be one reason why international investment in private companies has to take into account the sovereign risk. But the likelihood of sovereign risk transferring to corporates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657607
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Compulsory military service in Gemany revisited
Paloyo, Alfredo R. - 2010
This paper estimates the causal impact of compulsory military service on men in Germany using social security and pension administrative data for the cohort of individuals born in the period 1932–1942. Due to the combination of laws restricting conscription only to men born on or after July 1,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933286
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One-sided test for an unknown breakpoint : theory, computation, and application to monetary theory
Estrella, Arturo (contributor);  … - 2005
The econometrics literature contains a variety of two-sided tests for unknown breakpoints in time-series models with one or more parameters. This paper derives an analogous one-sided test that takes into account the direction of the change for a single parameter. In particular, we propose a sup...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003226093