The Gaidar Institute has developed a method of decomposing Russia’s GDP growth rates into the structural, foreign trade, and market-based components based on the decomposition algorithm decomposing macroeconomic indicators of developed countries (OECD). The algorithm has been refi ned to take...

The results of the estimates obtained using the Gaidar Institute method of decomposing Russia’s GDP growth rates show that in 2015 all of the components of economic growth rates will make them negative. Furthermore, the current economic contractin is mostly of structural nature induced by the...

The Gaidar Institute developed a comprehensive methodology for decomposing the growth rate of Russia’s GDP into its structural, foreign trade and situational components, which is based on the same decompositin algorithm as applied in the analysis of macroeconomic indicators of the developed...

The Russian banking sector in November was aff ected by the same key adverse trends that have been prevailing over the recent months. The monetary authority’s resources still served as the principal source of funding for banks, which is indicative of a systemic shortage of traditional types of...

February 2015 saw almost all of the trends prevailing over the recent months: the retail credit portfolio saw nega- tive growth rates, the quality of the credit portfolio kept deteriorating both in the corporate and retail segments of the credit market, the debt owed to non-residents kept...

Over the past three quarters of 2014 the Russian banking sector encountered a constriction of growth in all of its key resource sources. Retail accounts and deposits and foreign liabilities contracted while growth in corporate customers dropped to low levels. Monetary authorities’ resources,...

It is monetary authorities’ resources that became the principal source of growth in banks’ assets in October 2014. Still high frequency of banking license revocations and the ruble devaluation could hardly recover depositors’ confi dence in the banking system – growth in the deposit base...

In early 2015, Russia’s banking sector was operating under an increasing impact from several negative trends that had first become prominent towards the end of 2014. January 2015 became the second-in-a-row loss making month for banks, the second-in-a-row month of declining debt against retail...

Late in 2014, Russia’s banking sector was driven by the ruble’s devaluation and mounting crisis-related developments in the economy, fi rstly the decline in real disposable household income. Banks sustained big losses for the first time since 2009, and the money market regulator strengthened...

Growth rate in banks’ assets in October 2013 was accelerated with the resources of the Bank of Russia and the Ministry of Finance of Russia. Credit portfolio’s quality has deteriorated in both the retail and corporate segments of the lending market. Banking business keeps losing its...