Showing 1 - 10 of 208
Cross-predictability denotes the fact that some assets can predict other assets' returns. I propose a novel performance-based measure that disentangles the economic value of cross-predictability into two components: the predictive power of one asset's signal for other assets' returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014584406
affect the expected remaining lifetime, the health expenses, and the income. In order to hedge the health expense effect of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252053
realistic feature of our model is that the labor income of the wage earner is unspanned. We document that the combination of … unspanned labor income and the stickiness of insurance decisions reduces the insurance demand significantly. This is because an … income shock induces the need to reduce the insurance coverage, since premia become less affordable. Since such a reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250168
the zero-borrowing constraint is a lot weaker. More surprisingly, when I introduce idiosyncratic labor income risk in an … economy without a zero-borrowing constraint, the equity premium increases by 50 percent, even though the income shocks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900994
This paper examines whether investor mood, driven by World Health Organization (WHO) alerts and media news on globally dangerous diseases, is priced in pharmaceutical companies' stocks in the United States. We concentrate on irrational investors who buy and sell pharmaceutical companies' stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568702
This paper examines continuous-time models for the S&P 100 index and its constituents. We find that the jump process of the typical stock looks significantly different than that of the index. Most importantly, the average size of a jumps in the returns of the typical stock is positive, while it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465942
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014416010
This study examines the impact of ESG ratings on fund holdings, stock returns, and firm behavior. First, we show that among five major ESG ratings, only MSCI ESG can explain the holdings of US funds with an ESG mandate. We document that downgrades in the MSCI ESG rating substantially reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015154584
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
We test whether investor mood affects trading with data on all stock market transactions in Finland, utilizing variation in daylight and local weather. We find some evidence that environmental mood variables (local weather, length of day, daylight saving and lunar phase) affect investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226190